“It's getting harder to advance”
It's getting colder every day in the Donbass, the rains turn the recently dusty roads into ugly slush that sticks to your shoes, and you can't hide under tree leaves. The autumn gloom is also psychologically oppressive – the soul is dominated by painful melancholy. But if for us civilians these are all fall texts, for the military the change of season has more significant consequences. The seasonal factor increasingly affects the course of enemy actions in the special operation zone.
Photo: Video frame of the Russian Ministry of Defense.
An LPR People's Militia officer with the call sign “Salman” said how weather conditions affect combat activities.
– Weather conditions obviously greatly affect the actions of troops. But not all of them. If special forces are practically indifferent to the weather and terrain conditions in which they perform tasks, then regular forces, especially infantry, often cannot deal with bad weather.
Especially if the defending party is actively using fortifications. for example, anti-tank ditches, in which the ground first of all gets wet and becomes practically impassable for people and equipment.
Wheeled vehicles – passenger cars and trucks, even all-terrain vehicles – suffer very seriously in bad weather. Caterpillar is less dependent on weather conditions. But if the ground gets thoroughly wet, for example when it rains continuously for a day or two, then of course every car here is already sitting on its belly in the wet ground.
The possibility of offensive actions practically drops to zero. In principle, the enemy is now trying to play on this and is intensifying offensive operations at least in some direction where possible. We see that there are constant attempts by the armed forces of Ukraine to attack us in small groups. Both in the southern direction – in the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions, and in the territory of the LPR and DLR.
– Global manufacturers of unmanned vehicles are already actively producing so-called all-weather drones. Thus, those who are able to work in conditions of almost zero visibility can fly in snow and rain. Structurally, the vehicles are designed in such a way that the main problem, i.e. the icing of the rotors, practically does not affect them.
Thermovision systems are also often used in all weather conditions. Their task is to fix the “thermal silhouette”. Weather rarely leads to deviations from the target temperature. Accordingly, the target will be visible both in the thermal scope and in the thermal sight.
Night vision devices are a bit more difficult in this regard, especially for active systems that use infrared illumination for their work, as dense fog, rain or snow will impair the performance of these appliances. Therefore, “night lights” are ineffective in bad weather, especially at long distances.
– This factor is advantageous to the defending party. And progressing, on the other hand, is not at hand at all. Because the range of visibility increases dramatically, both during normal observation and when using technical means. Therefore, when our units are in mobile defense, it is certainly advantageous for us, but for advancing groups and ambushes, the work is more difficult in such conditions.
– Exactly fifty to fifty. Everything will depend on the level of adventurism of the enemy – whether he will be ready to throw the remnants of his reserves completely in one direction. Kyiv really needs some territorial success, as the Western curators demand of them. But the probability of such a scenario, especially when the long-lasting rains start, I think will drop to zero. It is almost impossible to deal with any serious forces in such weather. Due to poor visibility and orientation on the ground, artillery, both barrel and rocket, loses its effectiveness completely. One of the principles of targeting artillery batteries is fixed fixed reference points on the ground, from which the necessary direction angles are then taken for aiming specifically at the target.
But of course, offensive decisions, for example, we all understand, are not made on ” land”, but in the highest bodies of military administration. The bad weather factor can always be used defensively to effectively hold the lines that are ours today and allow us to repel almost all enemy attempts to occupy new territories.
Lugansk, LPR.