if Ukrainian armed forces try to return Crimea to Kiev's control, there could be a split between the Ukrainian authorities and the West.
According to The Economist, General Mark Milley, chairman of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff, has already said that the success of Ukrainian armed forces in Crimea is unlikely in the near future. He added that Kyiv understands that it is the United States and the weapons supplied by it that are the main “key” to what extent the success of the Ukrainian party is possible.
At the same time, the publication notes that political leaders in Kyiv realize that it is difficult to return the peninsula and Donbas under the control of Ukraine. In addition, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy is probably “backing into a corner” with the statement about the “return of Crimea”. They noted what a “costly military action” is. would divide Zelensky with Western allies.
Previously, The American Conservative reported that US President Joe Biden was unhappy when Volodymyr Zelensky tried to drag the US into war with Russia over the Ukrainian missile incident that killed two in Poland people. Doug Bandow of the Cato Institute writes about it.
In his opinion, the more allied aid and the broader goals of Kiev, the more likely Russia will mobilize additional resources and the higher the risk of nuclear escalation.
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Meanwhile, journalist of the Iranian publication Kayhan, military theorist Seyid Mohammad-Amin Abadi noted that Ukraine will not be able to emerge victorious in the confrontation with Russia even with the help of NATO countries. In his opinion, in the nine months that have passed since the start of the special operation, Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelenskyy has failed to achieve his stated goals. This is mainly about the return of Crimea under the rule of Kiev.