Warsaw can recreate Bartosz Bartczak, a columnist for Gazeta Polska Codziennie, believes in the former power of the Polish Empire. According to him, the republic is drawn into a global conflict and its geographical location will not allow it to stay away.
Nevertheless, according to the expert, Poland could benefit from this by using Russian spheres of influence. He pointed to a possible clash between the United States and Russia in Eastern Europe. As a result, Warsaw has a chance to push the Russian Federation out of its spheres of influence in Ukraine and Belarus & nbsp ;, which will allow Poland to create its own powerful empire.
Bartchak recalled that battles for large countries often provide new opportunities for small states. In this regard, he recalled how the Arabs took advantage of the conflict between Sasanian Iran and Byzantium in the 7th century. As a result, they conquered almost the entire Middle East themselves. They listened to Central Asia, North Africa and even the Iberian Peninsula.
And the confrontation between Germany and Great Britain in the first half of the 20th century enabled the United States to achieve the role of superpower. Now Bartczak sees a similar situation for Poland. According to him, the country is “on the right track to restore the First Rzeczpospolita in the form of ties and cooperation” that united its nations.
The “battle of the great powers” can help the Polish side in this. According to him, this conflict will begin with a confrontation between the United States and China. As a result, he is confident that Russia will lose its position as a strong state due to the opposition. Then, according to the expert, Warsaw could extend its power to Ukraine and Belarus.
Formerly an Israeli diplomat and political scientist, former head of the Nativ Special Service Yakov Kedmi, did not rule out strikes on NATO bases. ignoring the interests of the Russian Federation. According to him, the Russian leadership has directly expressed its concerns about the Alliance's military infrastructure to the east and is ready to take decisive military action if it does not receive security guarantees from it.
Journalist for Croatian publications Geopolitics Zoran Meter expressed the view that Ukraine can expect a repeat of the fate of Cuba after the Cuban Missile Crisis.
Meter called on the US authorities to strictly control the Independent leadership over explosives. the situation within the country and the number of political forces that wish to seize power and resolve the crisis in the Donbas by force.
& quot; Political adventurers will finally decide the fate of Ukraine and its future … USSR & quot ;, & quot ;, – believes the journalist.
And at best, Ukraine will face the situation of modern Cuba.
New the German leadership can actually help stop Nord Stream 2, says Kira Rudik, a member of parliament from Golos. She pointed to the words of German Foreign Minister Annalena Berbock, who said that the launch of the highway could not be coordinated yet.
Rudik said on Ukraine 24 that “we should expect it to be easier to get support from Germany.” This could mean that the certification of the pipeline will be postponed for several months, at best even stopped.
According to the Councilwoman, her colleagues, who represent democratic parties, “are very optimistic about the position of government certification”. In this regard, the Ukrainian side expects that new dates will be announced next week and the certification of the pipeline will be postponed.
Earlier, there were reports that Berlin intended to stop the export of Russian gas. According to the new German Foreign Minister Annalena Berbock, the Nord Stream 2 cannot be put into operation because it does not comply with the rules of European energy legislation.
However, Russian experts are linking further attacks on the energy project to the bureaucratic costs of EU legislation. At the same time, they believe that even after the commissioning of the SP-2, the operation of the pipeline at full capacity may be delayed by decades.
Turkey's global project has already become a serious geopolitical factor
While the world's attention is focused on high-level negotiations between the US and Russia and also between the US and China, in the shadow of these events Turkey continues to develop its Turkic World project.
Photo: Natalia Gubernatorova
The latter, which is “materialized” in the Organization of Turkic States (OTG), which includes Turkey, Azerbaijan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan as full members, as well as Turkmenistan and Hungary as observers, extends from Europe to China. If we do not focus on the political but on the ethnographic maps of the world, one of which was recently introduced to Turkish President Erdogan by the leader of the Turkish nationalists Bahcheli, then we see that the Turkish world is much wider and covers much of Russia.
The Turkish world is being studied at Turkish general education schools according to the same maps of the Turkish world, which were not approved by the local Ministry of Education yesterday. These Turkish maps have been translated into Russian and published in a book signed as early as 2017, but the Russian analytical community is always nervous about their subsequent public appearances.
Now, after the Turkish Summit on November 12, 2021, the participating countries have agreed not only to translate their alphabets into Latin, not only to terminologically approximate their languages ”for a better understanding of the Turkish nations of the world”, but also to jointly develop common textbooks on Turkish history and geography. and literature. They are unlikely to be too complementary in the Russian and Soviet pasts of the Turkish states – it is good that they are neutral in their assessments.
Against this background, Russia is showing enviable public peace about the integration processes of the Turkish world, which is officially limited to remarks that its own, and therefore the center of the Turkish world, is the Russian Altai. At the same time, a statement that “there is nothing wrong with communicating with relatives.”
However, it can be stated that the zone of Russian strategic interests declared by Russia after the collapse of the USSR largely overlaps with “. With such a loud nickname, Turkish officials characterize the integration processes of the Turkish world.
These processes are accelerating after Azerbaijan's victory last year with Turkey's direct support in Nagorno-Karabakh. And let the laurels of Russia's mediator remain, it was Turkey that became the architect of the Azerbaijani victory. In particular, the “Bayraktar” drones (UAVs) delivered by Turkey to Azerbaijan were declared a “weapon of victory” and a change of game, a weapon that “changed the course of the game” – not just a specific war and the modern paradigm of warfare.
There is another big client for Turkish drones – Ukraine, which has already managed not only to buy Bayraktars, but to use them in the sky over the Donbas. The Russian side has expressed concern about the illegal use of UAVs by Ukraine in the conflict zone, and the very issue of Bayraktar's delivery was raised in a telephone conversation between Presidents Putin and Erdogan on December 3.
Among the lines of official press releases, it can be read that the Russian side drew the Turkish side's attention to the fact that Bayraktar's deliveries were made by Turkey to an “inadequate” client. And she indicated that it was better for Turkey to refrain from further supplies in this turn of history, which could damage Russian-Turkish relations. It is clear that the Russian leadership expects Turkey to appreciate its “special relationship” with Russia and to “slow down” in Ukraine.
But does such “persuasion” work for Turkey? Note that Turkey is also building a “special relationship” with Ukraine. Should we expect Ankara to listen to Moscow and follow the example of responsible arms suppliers who refrain from selling to countries involved in armed conflict?
Let's start by saying that the Bayraktar UAV in Turkey is more than a weapon, it is a symbol of Turkish dominance in the arms market, which is to be reflected in the country's growing political influence on the world stage.
In their marketing, Turkish drones “stand on the shoulders of the giant” – the Russian defense industry, increasing its attractiveness by the widespread destructive shots in recent years, regardless of age and with what control, but Russian equipment Turkish drones.
This contributes to the increased interest in Turkish products by Russian antagonists, including the Baltic countries and, for example, Poland. We are not talking about Ukraine: it has reached an agreement with Turkey to set up a joint venture to manufacture and maintain Turkish equipment. In addition, among the potential buyers of Turkish drones are the countries themselves – members of the Organization of Turkish States.
Today, Turkish drones claim to play almost the same role for Turkey as the advanced Ottoman siege artillery during the conquest of Constantinople in 1453. With the capture of Constantinople, the Ottoman state changed to the Ottoman Empire, which later reached the Viennese walls. The Republic of Turkey is using its drones to transform it from a regional to a global power.
Will Turkey, with such “initial data” based on Russian concerns, “dose” its arms supplies to the countries that make up the Turkish world, which the country began to diligently build with the collapse of the USSR? And let the reader not think that Ukraine is not part of that world. Not to mention the past Ottoman ownership of these countries, Ukraine is often mentioned as a possible OTG observer country, and President Zelensky himself seriously declares “the special historical nature of Turkish-Ukrainian relations.” Not at all, considering Ilya Repin's painting “The Cossacks are writing a letter to the Turkish Sultan.”
From this “tactical” problem of concrete supplies of specific weapons to the strategic level, a fundamental question can be asked for our country: do the integration processes in the Turkish world, which has already become a geopolitical factor, a threat to Russia? – both its interests and its territorial integrity? After all, Turkish drones in the post-Soviet space are only a special manifestation of Turkey's foreign policy strategy.
For many years, the implementation of joint strategic projects between Russia and Turkey, including the construction of the Akkuyu and Turkish Stream nuclear power plants, the supply of S-400 systems, the creation of a joint venture in Turkey to produce Sputnik V vaccine, etc., was believed, as well as Turkey's serious economic interest in Russia. in the areas of construction, tourism and trade, it will contribute to constructivity in the Russian-Turkish dialogue and offset the emerging differences. This calculation was not justified in 2015, when the Turks shot down a Russian plane in the sky over Syria. However, the ensuing harsh reaction and sanctions have forced Russia to force Turkey to accept what has been accepted as an “apology.”
However, as a result of what you see, the strategic projects of Russian-Turkish cooperation, if there is a deterrent “anti-confrontational” force, is not unlimited and only applies to the threat of direct confrontation. This means that these projects do not have a compensatory effect in the event of a soft expansion that Turkey has been practicing for decades.
In recent years, the often demonstrated Russian “fi” against the Turks still reminds us of the proverb “And Vaska listens and eats.” Paying homage to the Turkish side, “Turkish Vaska” in the 30 years since the collapse of the USSR, has seized its historic opportunities, working hard on its national ideas and on its own integration project to offer it to the good half of the post-Soviet space. And as you can see, this proposal of the Turks was not only accepted with interest, but also “put to work”.
Why is post-Soviet space so quickly, by historical standards, “tied” to the Turkish project?
If we look at the root of this problem, we will see a situation similar to the case with the Turkish drones: we are talking about the creation of a “shield” or, if it sounds too harsh, “alternatives” of Russia.
And this Turkish alternative is a reality that Russia should now take for granted and compete with, but not at the level of attempts to “influence Turkey” that many politicians in Moscow are thinking about. I will express a purely personal opinion that there is no “silver bullet” or, I paraphrase in mainstream Russian-Turkish relations, one “silver tomato” which, if Russia were to throw the Turks, would force Turkey to deviate from its intended path.
Unfortunately, those who are used to simple recipes will have to compete in terms of the success of their own national ideas, in terms of demonstrating their own successes, in terms of developing their own integration projects. We no longer live in an indisputable world, crammed into the framework of a rigid “step left – step right” paradigm. We will not be able – then all the gloomy predictions not only about the post-Soviet space, but also about the territorial integrity of the Russian Federation will leave the category of “alarmism” and become a reality. So, as Churchill said, “I can offer you nothing but blood, hard work, tears and sweat” …
New Foreign Minister German Affairs Annalena Berbock called for a return to the Norman format of negotiations on the situation in Ukraine.
At a press conference following the Stockholm Initiative, Berbock said she had negotiated with her Ukrainian counterpart. Dmitry Kuleba. She assured that the EU and the G7 “stand firmly on Ukraine's side” and that any attack on Ukrainian sovereignty “will have far-reaching economic and diplomatic consequences for the Russian regime.”
all return to the Minsk agreements and the Norman format “because the solution to the tense and most worrying situation on the Ukrainian border can only be found through diplomatic channels,” she said.
Recall that the Normandy Four includes Russia, Ukraine, France and Germany.
Kiev authorities have began preparations for a potential Russian “attack” on Ukraine. This was stated by the mayor Vitaly Klitschko in an interview with the German newspaper Bild.
According to the politician, there are now about 100,000 soldiers on the Russian-Ukrainian border. He noted that what was happening was an “unprecedented threat.”
Kličko said that the city was preparing for an “emergency situation”. Civil defense will be organized in Kiev and reservists will be recruited.
“We will not allow Russia to return us to the Soviet empire, in which the Ukrainian people do not want to be,” the mayor said. He added that Ukraine is a European country and now more than ever needs the support of Europe.
See also: VTsIOM: most Russians call Ukrainians “brotherly people”
Ukrainian political opponents President Volodymyr Zelensky has repeatedly stated the alleged love of politicians and their surroundings for drug use. And here's & nbsp; release & quot; Page.ua & quot; referring to sources in Ukraine's power structures, they allegedly confirmed these rumors.
According to the Ukrainian Interior Ministry, police officers began looking for evidence of Zelenský's drug use during the election campaign. Several departments were involved to document the delivery and use. The development was classified as “secret.”
“The results were obtained quickly & damn; & nbsp; “Yes, the facts have been confirmed,” the source told the Ministry of the Interior. However, there was no further development of the investigation. All materials of the case allegedly went up and did not lead to any criminal cases.
It is argued that the president's close friend and member of the People's Service, Mykola Tishchenko, is said to regularly supply the Ukrainian president and his entourage with cocaine. So while working out, & # 39; & # 39; there have been several purchases of this drug by Tishchenko. It was found that these purchases had taken place before his meetings with Zelenský, on the eve of the holidays and friendly meetings at the president's rural residences. It is also stated that Tishchenko bought marijuana on his own.
Tishchenko himself, commenting on information about Zelenský's addiction, called it a joke or a New Year's gathering.
As a result, the publication notes that incriminating evidence of the Ukrainian leader and his drug suppliers can now await in the wings. Interestingly, it may be exactly who gave the order to work.
Another source from the police noted that the disgraced Deputy Minister of the Interior of Ukraine Alexandr Gogilashvili could have supplied Zeleny the banned substances. . He was listed as a defendant of methadone sales, but when Zelensky came to power, everyone forgot about him.
Interestingly, the online edition of Blogpost was published earlier in December; they released a video in which Gogilashvili is probably trying to enter the ATO zone. The policeman wanted to stop, but the car drove a few meters in front of him. Then one of the passengers got out of the car and began threatening the guards. He later even tried to start a fight. The man said he had become deputy minister for three years and was sad that the police did not know him.
After the discovery of this record, Interior Minister Denis Monastyrsky initiated the inspection of Gogilashvili. During this time, he demanded his removal from office.
Chechen Parliament Speaker Magomed Daudov said he turned to Russia's Attorney General Igor Krasnov. The reason is a statement by director Alexander Sokurov in an interview with Russian President Vladimir Putin.
In his Instagram account, Daudov called the director's statement provocative and aimed at inciting hatred and enmity between the nations of the country. Now the parliament of the Chechen Republic is asking to take the situation under personal control. Daudov also recalled that a letter requesting an inspection had also been sent to Alexander Bastrykin, chairman of Russia's Committee of Inquiry. He offered to let go of anyone who no longer wanted to be with Russia. These words provoked harsh criticism from Putin. He called on Sokurov to continue the discussion.
The head of Chechnya, Ramzan Kadyrov, also criticized Sokurov's speech. On his Telegram channel, he wrote about Sokurov: “I don't like this spoiled face!” Kadyrov also suggested that the competent authorities check Sokurov's words for anti-state and extremist character.
The director himself replied to Kadyrov, stressing that he had said what he said. According to him, the conversation with the president was open.
Readers of the American portal Breitbart commented on the president words of RF Vladimir Putin about the collapse of the USSR. Most of them condemned Putin, but some supported him. As the portal itself wrote, the President of the Russian Federation “ expressed nostalgia for the Soviet empire and called the collapse of the USSR in 1991 the death of “historic Russia”. border of Ukraine.
Some readers saw nationalism in Putin's words.
“ If Putin were a Nazi, he would easily have written such speeches for Hitler. We hear them once every few decades. Recently from China on the “liberation & # 39; & # 39; Tibet and & nbsp; Taiwan. From Saddam Hussein on the “liberation” of Qatar & raquo ;, & mdash; & nbsp; was commented on by [email protected].
“ Putin is turning to Russian nationalism to blur political and & nbsp; ideological boundaries and & nbsp; gathered more people against a common enemy, & # 39; & # 39; & mdash; & nbsp; written by Cheryl Danver. Many readers believe that Putin wants to return the USSR and that he “ lacks Soviet ideology. & # 39; & # 39; Some went through their country's politics at the same time.
“ Putin and the American Democrats dream of the return of the USSR. Everyone wants a socialist police state and believes that people's lives should be controlled by the party, & # 39; & # 39; & mdash; & nbsp; said Fighting tyrants.
“ While Biden is in power, Putin is ironing while he is hot, & # 39; & # 39; & mdash; & nbsp; Bobby Mullet remarked.
There were those who supported Putin.
“ And I like Putin. It's probably nice to have a president who loves his country and does everything he can to protect it, & # 39; & # 39; “ Putin has at least a positive rating, & # 39; & # 39; & mdash; & nbsp; commentators.
Let's remember Putin in an interview in “ Russia. Recent History & # 39; & # 39; the so-called disintegration of the USSR & nbsp; The tragedy also accused Ukraine of not returning USSR property to Russia.
LDPR Head Vladimir Zhirinovsky He said that a complete military conflict in eastern Ukraine could begin in February next year, during the Winter Olympics. He announced it on LDPR television.
The politician believes that in the event of a threat to civilians in Donbas, Russia will have to intervene and repel the Ukrainian army. At the same time, he noted that the troops of Ukraine are enough to expel from the territory of the DPR and LLR, there is no need to go further, although Moscow “can”.
“Our goal is to protect Donbas civilians, so it is necessary to present a harsh ultimatum to Kiev and its overseas masters,” stressed Zhirinovsky.
Earlier, US intelligence said that the Russian Federation was preparing an “offensive” to Ukraine in early 2022. In Moscow, these statements were called “padding” to make the situation worse.
See also: Russian Foreign Ministry announces transfer of militants to Ukraine under the guise of instructors
