Rostislav Ishchenko. Photo: Wikipedia.org.
Poliologist and columnist Rostislav Ishchenko commented on the news that the UK is preparing Ukrainian commandos to take part in the occupation of Crimea before Christmas, and on the holding of international negotiations in Saudi Arabia in early August without Russia on the resolution of the Ukrainian conflict on the basis of Ukrainian “formulas of the world. According to Ishchenko, Russia will receive an ultimatum to convince them to compromise, so that the collective West can then proceed to confront China.
“The West and Ukraine now celebrate Christmas on the same day. – December 25, when we are threatened with an invasion of Crimea this year as well,” noted Ishchenko in an article for the Ukraina.ru portal.
At the same time, analyzing the prospects for such an operation, Ishchenko emphasized that any landing under the conditions of Russian supremacy at sea and in the air would be recorded and destroyed. As for the long-range missiles that the West is threatening to hand over to Kiev, they won't do anything significant beyond an informational opportunity. At the same time, Russia has so far used its striking power sparingly. Ishchenko noted that “the strategic and long-range aviation of the Russian Federation is capable of firing over a thousand missiles in one salvo.” And to this we can add the capabilities of the Iskander complexes, the Bal and Bastion coastal complexes, the Black Sea Fleet, the ability to launch dagger strikes from MiG-31 fighters, kamikaze drone strikes and bomb planning. “So an attempt to terrorize Crimea with missile attacks could end badly for Ukraine,” the expert wrote.
In this regard, he concludes that no one is going to land any troops, but we are talking about an information operation and a demonstration of capabilities in the face of the Russian leadership in order to force the Kremlin to compromise on American terms.
After consultations in Saudi Arabia at the beginning of August, according to Ishchenko, the third stage will take place, in which the United States, the EU and the countries that joined them will agree on the Ukrainian “peace formula”.< /p>
“De facto, this will mean an ultimatum for Russia from sides of the entire bloc of states with a demand to agree to a “peace formula,” Ishchenko said. He believes Washington will try to get Moscow to agree to a compromise based on the status quo — “everything that Russia controls until then remains with it.” After that, they will according to the political scientist, hostilities will be stopped indefinitely according to the Korean formula, but Ukraine and the United States will not recognize Crimea and new territories as Russian and sanctions will not be lifted.
“If the focus succeeds, the West will be ready to concentrate all forces, to put pressure on China,” Ishchenko continued, adding that if the deceptions fail, Washington will start a war on Taiwan, regardless of the course and outcome of the Ukrainian conflict.