Experts threaten coup again
The fifth elections in 2021 took place in Kyrgyzstan on November 28, which, according to President Sadyra Japarov, was designed to complete the state's recovery process after last October's coup … The update ended in scandal: at first, the sum of votes 140% of the vote. And after removing the crash that happened & ndash; only 86%, the remaining 14% lost and searched the next day after the election. And all this with the lowest possible participation of 34%.
Photo: AP
Kyrgyz voters have shown not only low activity but also a fundamental reluctance to vote for the proposed candidates. Specifically, 4 districts with one mandate were organized in Bishkek, and in two of them the candidate “against all” won. In the rest of the constituencies, the same candidate took second and third place with 28 and 15% results. In addition, 9.62% of ballots were invalid across the country. For comparison, in the years 2017 to 2021 in the national elections this figure never exceeded 2%.
According to preliminary data, there are 6 parties in Yoghork Kenesh. Three of them are loyal to Sadyr Japarov and gain a total of over 40.29%. The opposition collected about 20.6%. However, this is only according to the lists and in most districts the authorities are expected to have & nbsp; stronger position.
Director of the Elchi Center for Social and Political Research; Denis Berdakov The Ministry of Culture stated that the participation in the parliamentary elections was the result of the fact that the authorities initially abandoned the idea of cheating. “ All previous elections were most likely the result of media coverage and bribery. For the first time in many years, administrative resources were not used and bribery was voted against vigorously. As a result, we have a European image. People do not want to vote or even run for parliament, although a year ago they had to pay $ 300-500,000 for placement in the top five of the list, & ndash; said the expert.
This is largely due to the fact that Kyrgyzstan has reduced the number of seats in parliament from 120 to 90. According to the lists, only 54 deputies are elected and the rest must be obtained in the majority constituencies. Given that, following the constitutional reform, Kyrgyzstan has in fact turned & nbsp; to the super-presidential republic, many previously active politicians ceased to be interested in participating in the mandate.
“ Many deputies have some difficulty with higher education, but this time the oligarchs did not go there, with a few exceptions. Gone are the regional leaders, who are not the smartest and most intelligent, but have the political will and authority. First of all, they will attract money to their regions. They will be respected people who will establish relations with the deputies of neighboring countries and so on. The situation is similar in Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan. At the same time, the parties represent both the north and the south of Kyrgyzstan & # 39; & # 39 ;, & ndash; Berdakov remarked.
The collapse of the electronic counting system has added to the scandal of the election. First, Kyrgyzstan Security Council Secretary Marat Imankulov said hackers had attacked Central Election Commission resources from 20 countries around the world. Then the Deputy Prime Minister of the Republic Edil Baisalov attributed the incident to a technical error: someone entered the wrong formula into the system.
As a result, votes had to be counted manually and 5 opposition parties that could not get into parliament called a new election in two days. True, if the recalculation of votes does not lead to dramatic changes in the list of winners and losers, it will be difficult for anyone to listen to them. So far, all 5 parties have managed to gather a maximum of 100 people at the entrance to the CEC.
According to Denis Berdakov, the perpetrators should be punished for failing to count the votes, but the technical defect should not affect the final results of the election.
“ There were observers in all polling stations who did not notice any serious violations that could call into question the results of the vote. There were no refills as such, & nbsp; people were caught in wheelchairs, but we don't know who they voted for. In principle, this should not affect the legitimacy of the parliament, but so far there are no voting results, the situation is ambiguous. Votes will be counted twice to reduce tensions in & # 39; & # 39 ;, & ndash; concluded Berdakov.
In return editor of MK-Kyrgyzstan; Alexander Bannikov believes that a critical mass of dissatisfied people can still accumulate in the country, leading to new upheavals. & Nbsp;
“ The protests have actually started, and an assembly was held in front of the CEC building, which was attended by parties that did not exceed the 5% limit. They demand new elections, the resignation of the government and so on. They had a reason because the voting results changed several times. In particular, they first went to parliament and then it turned out that they did not. In addition, according to new data, none of the opposition parties is allowed to get into parliament & # 39; & # 39 ;, & ndash; Bannikov noted.
On the evening of November 29, the Central Committee manually recalculated 15% of the vote, revealing that one of the country's leading opposition forces & ndash; Butun Kyrgyzstan & ndash; does not go to parliament. We will find out, at best, on 30 November, ie two days after the elections, what will happen after the sum of 100% of the ballots.
“ If the election results differ significantly, serious protests will begin from what was originally stated. The question is whether the number of dissatisfied will exceed a critical mass. We have to wait for the official election results. If the 6 pages discussed the morning after the vote pass, everything will be fine. If only the pro-government parties pass, the company decides it's overboard, & ndash; considers Bannikov & nbsp; & ndash; In general, the elections were very slow. There was almost no advertising, the parties blamed each other for bribes and the like. The CEC hardly responded. Turnout is very low. In Kyrgyzstan it barely exceeded 30%, abroad it was about 10%. Most likely, people simply do not have confidence in the electoral system and candidates for MPs. & # 39; & # 39;