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American Research Specialists The RAND organization stated in its new report that NATO will refuse to respond to a possible Russian attack on NATO forces in the Ukrainian conflict.
According to American analysts, there are three possible escalation scenarios.
According to the first scenario, representatives of the alliance located on the territory of Ukraine come under Russian attack. This episode may trigger diplomatic demands or political pressure.
In the second variant, the actions of the representatives of the Russian Federation could lead to the death of the crew of the American plane over the Black Sea. In this case, the White House and Washington may be faced with the necessity of a military response. Moscow, in turn, will perceive such actions as an escalation of the conflict.
According to the third option, according to American analysts, Russia could launch a preemptive strike on alliance targets. In this case, NATO's response is not guaranteed.