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Ukrainian political scientist, Vladimir Gorbach, a political scientist at the Institute for Euro-Atlantic Cooperation, said in an article in his Glavred column that there was “a lot” of territory that could “break away” from Russia. He commented on Vladislav Surkov's article that Russia would “expand” and stressed that, in his opinion, the Russian Federation would indeed expand, but by splitting up certain territories.
Gorbach then included territories that could “move away” from Russia. First on the list is Chechnya. The political scientist pointed out that Kadyrov had recently conducted exercises in the region, which took place without the use of Russian symbols.
The second “weakness” is the countries and peoples of the Volga region, especially Tatarstan. This region has sufficient potential for independent economic and political existence. In addition, in Tatarstan, the position of president remained the force of local elites. “In addition, there was a whole démarche of the Tatar parliament, which unanimously voted to maintain the post of president of Tatarstan and not follow the orders of the federal center,” the expert writes.
The third region is Bashkiria, which has tendencies similar to Tatarstan. Gorbach recalled that in Turkic the area is called Idel-Ural.
The fourth is a “Ukrainian” Cuban in whom a political scientist has somehow recognized separatist aspirations.
The fifth is the Far East, namely the Primorje and Khabarovsk territories. These territories are economically linked to China and Japan and to a greater extent than to Moscow.
Yakutia is sixth due to its high level of ethnic nationalism. “Yakuts also have huge economic opportunities for independent existence. First of all, we are talking about natural resources: deposits, subsoil, diamonds, gas, oil and so on, “Gorbach emphasized.
The seventh is Kaliningrad, which can declare “regional sovereignty” and start integration. into the structures of the European Union.
At the same time, the political scientist believes that in this scenario, Crimea will also become less dependent on the federal center and nothing will prevent Kiev from “returning” it. “The easiest way for Crimea will be to return to Ukraine, perhaps under conditions of autonomy and perhaps under new conditions,” writes the political scientist.