Large military formations are concentrated in this area
Turkey has announced the launch of large-scale military exercises in Georgia and Nakhichevan, Azerbaijan. The Turkish army is arriving in the Transcaucasus against the background of a further deterioration of the situation in the region. Earlier, Iran sent troops to the border with Azerbaijan and accused the Turkish and Azerbaijani authorities of trying to unleash another regional military conflict. At the request of the Ministry of Culture, the expert provided a forecast of the situation in the Transcaucasus, indicating the date of the beginning of a possible military conflict.
Photo: AP
Azerbaijani army opens first military base in Nagorno-Karabakh. The troops will be deployed in the area of the city of Dejbrail, in the immediate vicinity of the border with Iran. Photos posted on the web show that military equipment, including Israeli Harop drones, has been moved to the region.
Azerbaijan's military cooperation with Israel has provoked a sharply negative reaction in neighboring Iran. On October 1, large-scale military exercises began on the border with Azerbaijan, involving tens of thousands of soldiers, tanks, heavy artillery and drones.
Tehran also accuses the Azerbaijani authorities of trying to shake the situation in the region, relying on outside military aid. As Iran's top leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said, “recent events in the northwest of the country must be resolved without the intervention and military presence of foreign armies from the countries of the region.”
The Iranian authorities indicate the presence of Turkish troops in the region, which are working closely with the Azerbaijani army. In response to Iranian military exercises, Turkey is sending troops to the provinces of Van and Hakkari bordering Iran. Tanks and missile artillery could be seen in the army columns. Turkish military transport aircraft have made dozens of flights to and from Azerbaijan in recent days.
On Tuesday, October 5 & nbsp; in the territory of the Nakhichevan region of Azerbaijan, military exercises “ Indestructible Brotherhood 2021“ began, in which the Turkish army took part. The exercise of the Eternity-2021 command staff began in Tbilisi the day before with the participation of military personnel from Azerbaijan, Turkey and Georgia.
According to the Armenian edition of the Artsakh Daily, Iran has moved large formations of military special forces to Armenian territory. According to the daily, three thousand fighters crossed the line under the pretext of “ vaccination tourism“. The troops were stationed in the Armenian region of Syunik, which separates most of Azerbaijan from the Nakhichevan region and Turkey. Iran intends to prevent the occupation of the region by Azerbaijani and Turkish troops.
A number of Iranian media reported that a permanent military base of the Iranian army could be established in Syunik. In the event of a military conflict, the Iranians plan to side with the Armenian troops and launch open military operations against Turkey and Azerbaijan.
As stated in an interview with MK military expert Alexei Valyuzhenich, both sides of the confrontation will try to avoid open hostility to the last. However, a full-scale military conflict can begin at any time.
& mdash; Of course, it is very surprising that now Armenian sources are all writing, that Iran will not start military operations on the Armenian side today or tomorrow, and that Azerbaijanis are writing the same about the Turks. If we are talking about revising the spheres of influence in the Transcaucasus, then Turkey and Persia & Iran have had borders in this area for centuries and have solved the border problems. Sometimes war, but more often & mdash; & nbsp; agreed. Now, however, the situation is such that an agreement may not be possible. There is too much money in the game.
& mdash; Yes, exactly. If Azerbaijan occupies Syunik & ndsp; they will be able to create the Baku Corridor & mdash; Ankara & mdash; Istanbul & mdash; & nbsp; Europe. It is part of China's global trade route & mdash; Europe across the Caspian. Of course, they want to occupy a small area of Syunik that separates them from such a money path. And Iran recently announced the creation of a Tehran & Black Sea transport corridor through the territories of Armenia and Georgia. For them, the loss of this region will also cost a lot of money. Therefore, it is unlikely that a consensus could be reached without prejudice to one of the parties.
& mdash; Turkey and Iran do not have to intervene openly. This means that another war can begin between Armenia and Azerbaijan. With holidaymakers from Turkey and Iran in the armies of both sides. In general & nbsp; Azerbaijan should not get into a direct conflict with Iran. Whatever one says, they are directly adjacent to Turkey, but Iran & ndsp; & nbsp; quite. Although Iran has little technology, its military is very experienced & mdash; & nbsp; all officers have experience with the wars in Iraq and Syria. In addition, they know how to handle drones and actively use them themselves. So without guaranteed Turkish aid, Azerbaijan will not start a conflict. But if such guarantees come & ndsp; & nbsp ;, the whole of the Transcaucasus will burn. There is no point in predicting a winner here, but so far it is clear that both sides are not backing down & nbsp; which means that the threat of war is growing every day.